An autonomous research institute under the Ministry of Finance

 

India's New GST and the Inverted Duty Problem

31/10/2025

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The decision to simplify India's Goods and Services Tax (GST) into a primary two-slab system of 5% and 18% is a huge win for tax reform1. This highly anticipated shift replaces a complex, multi-tiered architecture and is expected to boost the economy by making compliance easier, globally competitive, …


Analysing RBI’s AI Framework

31/10/2025

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(Co-authored with Lekha Chakraborty)

As artificial intelligence reshapes global finance, central banks face a pivotal choice: integrate AI deeply into core monetary policy reaction functions or confine it to supportive operational roles? India's Reserve Bank (RBI) offers a compelling model with its Framework for Responsible Emerging AI in the Financial …


Close to a Trade Deal: Braving Trump’s Oil Sanctions and Tariff Storm

28/10/2025

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India’s deft navigation through global economic turbulence highlights its resilience amid President Trump’s aggressive trade and energy policies. However, can India grow the way we want, given the global headwinds? To me, the impact of these headwinds are transient, however it makes India brilliantly stoic in dealing with economic diplomacy …


The ‘Negative Harvest’ of US Tariffs

16/10/2025

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The “Liberation Day” tariffs imposed by President Trump earlier this year have become a pivotal moment in global trade, drawing sharp criticism from economists worldwide. Among the loudest voices is Gita Gopinath, former Chief Economist of the IMF, who has described today, the impact of these tariffs as a “negative …


MPC meet October 2025: Decoding RBI's dovish, yet disciplined, hold

16/10/2025

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Maintaining the repo rate at 5.5% with a neutral stance, RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra’s announcement after the Monetary Policy Committee meeting on October 1 underscores a calibrated approach to India’s macroeconomic landscape

In the intricate stance of monetary policy, where domestic resilience meets global headwinds, the RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee …