An autonomous research institute under the Ministry of Finance

 

AI and Fiscal Policy

16/12/2025

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(Co-authored with Lekha Chakraborty)

The rapid ascent of artificial intelligence (AI) promises substantial productivity gains and improved public services but poses significant challenges to labour markets and fiscal stance. AI is already reshaping core public-finance functions - revenue forecasting, tax and customs compliance1, social programme targeting, procurement, auditing, …


The Net Interest Margin Paradox: Navigating Profitability, Risk Aversion, and Credit Growth for Indian MSMEs

13/11/2025

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The influence of Net Interest Margin1 (NIM) on credit lending2 has long been a widely discussed topic. A consistently healthy NIM is vital because it provides banks with the necessary buffer to absorb credit risk, thus encouraging a greater capacity and willingness to lend, particularly to segments perceived …


India's New GST and the Inverted Duty Problem

31/10/2025

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The decision to simplify India's Goods and Services Tax (GST) into a primary two-slab system of 5% and 18% is a huge win for tax reform1. This highly anticipated shift replaces a complex, multi-tiered architecture and is expected to boost the economy by making compliance easier, globally competitive, …