An autonomous research institute under the Ministry of Finance


Motivations for capital controls and their effectiveness

Publication date

Apr, 2016


NIPFP Working paper No. 168


Radhika Pandey, Gurnain K. Pasricha, Ila Patnaik, Ajay Shah


We assess the motivations for changing capital controls and their effectiveness in India, a country where there is a comprehensive capital control system covering all cross-border transactions. We focus on foreign borrowing by firms, where systemic risk concerns could potentially play a role. A novel fine-grained data set of capital control actions is constructed. We find that capital control actions are potentially motivated by exchange rate considerations, but not by systemic risk issues. A quasi-experimental design reveals that the actions appear to have no impact either on the exchange rate or on variables connected with systemic risk.

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