वित्त मंत्रालय के तहत एक स्वायत्त अनुसंधान संस्थान

 

Minimising Selection Failure and Measuring Tax Gap: An Empirical Model

Publication date

मई, 2015

Details

NIPFP Working Paper No. 150

Authors

Sudhanshu Kumar and R. Kavita Rao

Abstract

This paper presents an empirical model for minimising selection failure by tax departments in selecting cases for scrutiny assessment. This model also provides a new methodology for estimating tax gap from limited information that the department collects on a regular basis through scrutiny assessments. Using a maximum-likelihood procedure that corrects for sample selection bias, and the data on the scrutiny assessment exercise carried out by the income tax department, we estimate the model which relates the probability and extent of under-reporting to various inputs provided by the tax filer. The estimated model provides a mechanism to analyse the trade-off between two types of cases of failure - wrong selection of a case and failure to take up the potential underreporter. 

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